EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
0 - 7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnsley 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Morecambe	2	-3	1
22	Cheltenham Town	2	-2	0
23	MK Dons	2	-2	0

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Peterborough United	2	4	6
2	Exeter City	2	4	4
3	Bolton Wanderers	2	3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
28.45% ( 0.02)	23.57% ( 0.01)	47.98% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.54% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07% (

-0.05)

41.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67% (

-0.05)

64.33% (

0.05)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.01)

27.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.01)

63.24% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.03)

17.67% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-0.06)

48.3% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 28.45%

Exeter City 47.98%

Draw 23.56%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.45%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 47.98%