Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Port Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Exeter City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Forest Green Rovers | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Port Vale |
36.89% ( 1.43) | 27.09% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
