MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 14:57:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Port Vale

Exeter
4 - 0
Port Vale

Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
36.89% (1.43 1.43) 27.09% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 36.01% (-1.421 -1.42)
Both teams to score 50.61% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.25% (0.055 0.05)54.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.047999999999998 0.05)76.07% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.89699999999999 0.9)28.59% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (1.109 1.11)64.39% (-1.106 -1.11)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.82299999999999 -0.82)29.12% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-1.029 -1.03)65.05% (1.032 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.89%
    Port Vale 36.01%
    Draw 27.09%
Exeter CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.196 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.163 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.89%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.01%

How you voted: Exeter vs Port Vale

Exeter City
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Port Vale
18.2%
11
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-1
Exeter
Bennett (50' pen., 70'), Legge (64')
Montano (30')
Ajose (22')
Dickenson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth392411463323183
2Derby CountyDerby402461069353478
3Bolton WanderersBolton39228971432874
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38218974462871
5Barnsley382011770482271
6Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391891262521063
7Stevenage3917111151401162
8Lincoln CityLincoln3916131056332361
9Blackpool391791357421560
10Leyton Orient391610134444058
11Northampton TownNorthampton40158175160-953
12Wigan AthleticWigan39177155348550
13Wycombe WanderersWycombe381311145049150
14Bristol Rovers38148164857-950
15Exeter CityExeter39138183352-1947
16Charlton AthleticCharlton391015145758-145
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury39135212955-2644
18Reading39139175557-242
19Burton Albion39109203151-2039
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge38109193255-2339
21Port Vale3899203661-2536
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham3798203050-2035
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood39713194161-2034
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3959253569-3424


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!