League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
4 - 0
Port Vale

Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Bolton Wanderers	1	0	1
13	Exeter City	1	0	1
14	Ipswich Town	1	0	1

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Forest Green Rovers	1	1	3
4	Port Vale	1	1	3
5	Cambridge United	1	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Port Vale
36.89% ( 1.43)	27.09% ( -0.01)	36.01% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 50.61% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

0.05)

54.75% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.05)

76.07% (

-0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.9)

28.59% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

1.11)

64.39% (

-1.11)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.82)

29.12% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.95% (

-1.03)

65.05% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 36.89%

Port Vale 36.01%

Draw 27.09%

Exeter City	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.89%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.01%