League Two

League Two | 1st Leg

May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Port Vale

(2-2 on aggregate)

McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
41.09%	26.56%	32.35%

Both teams to score 51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31%

74.69%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53%

25.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69%

60.31%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.91%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 41.09%

Port Vale 32.35%

Draw 26.55%

Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.09%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.35%