League Two
May 15, 2022 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry McKirdy 26' goal
  • Josh Davison 32' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 68' goal
  • Louis Reed 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Charsley 42'
  • goal James Wilson 83'

Swindon Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Walsall 0 - 3 Swindon

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Port Vale

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result

Swindon Town 41.09%
Draw 26.56%
Port Vale 32.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89%
Under 2.5 53.11%
Over 3.5 25.31%
Under 3.5 74.69%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.53%
Under 0.5 25.47%
Over 1.5 39.69%
Under 1.5 60.31%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 69.34%
Under 0.5 30.66%
Over 1.5 33.09%
Under 1.5 66.91%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 41.09%
Draw 26.55%
Port Vale 32.35%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.1%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.55%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.35%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kian Harratt 26' goal
  • Lucas 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Jonny Williams 20'
  • goal Ben Gladwin 45'+5'
  • goal Chris Smith 69' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 81'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Payne 13' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Simpson 49' goal
  • Tyreece Simpson 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbert 55' yellowcard
  • Harry Parsons 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Garrity 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jones 27'
  • goal Ben Garrity 81'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Leon Legge 41' goal
  • Hallam Hope 45' goal
  • Michael Doughty 60' goal
  • Michael Doughty 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Atkinson 34'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 42'
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 85'
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 87'
League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leon Legge 4' yellowcard
  • Scott Burgess 13' goal
  • James Gibbons 45' yellowcard
  • Jake Taylor 52' goal
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 13'
  • yellowcard Adam Crookes 52'
  • yellowcard Nathan Smith 58'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Luke Hannant 90' yellowcard
  • Theo Vassell 90' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 11'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 88'
  • yellowcard Steven Alzate 90'