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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK
County Ground
Port Vale

Swindon
2 - 1
Port Vale

McKirdy (26', 68')
Davison (32'), Reed (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (83')
Charsley (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Port Vale

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Port Vale

 Having defeated Exeter on away territory, Port Vale will fancy their chances of another away trip with a win against the odds. However, we cannot ignore Swindon's form heading into this contest, leading us to predict a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swindon Town.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
41.09%26.56%32.35%
Both teams to score 51.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89%53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31%74.69%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.91%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.09%
    Port Vale 32.35%
    Draw 26.55%
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 7.46%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.35%

How you voted: Swindon vs Port Vale

Swindon Town
73.5%
Draw
14.7%
Port Vale
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Swindon
Harratt (26')
Lucas (45+3')
Williams (20'), Gladwin (45+5' pen.), Smith (69' og.)
Lyden (81')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Port Vale
Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')
Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Port Vale
Legge (41' og.), Hope (45'), Doughty (60')
Doughty (91')

Atkinson (34'), Joyce (42'), Brisley (85'), Legge (87')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
2-0
Swindon
Burgess (13'), Taylor (52')
Legge (4'), Gibbons (45')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Port Vale

Clark (13'), Crookes (52'), Smith (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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