/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fharlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
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Josh Austerfield
90'+1'
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Luke Armstrong
90'+4'
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Louie Barry
24'
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Louie Barry
30'
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Josh Davison
51'
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Josh Davison
63'
Harrogate Town vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Harrogate Town Goals
Swindon Town Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.53%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.65%