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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Oldham Athletic

Swindon
1 - 0
Oldham

Conroy (90+6')
Hunt (45'), Aguiar (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hart (24'), Clarke (27'), Adams (33'), Piergianni (42'), Fage (74'), Hope (83'), Stobbs (90+5')
Clarke (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Oldham Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawOldham Athletic
54.67%22.99%22.34%
Both teams to score 55.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2%44.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84%67.15%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72%16.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.17%45.83%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.67%
    Oldham Athletic 22.34%
    Draw 22.99%
Swindon TownDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.53%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.34%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oldham
1-3
Swindon
Piergianni (90')
Bowden (26')
McKirdy (32'), Simpson (79', 90+4')
Iandolo (37'), McKirdy (71')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Swindon
2-0
Oldham
Woolery (45'), Doyle (85')
Baudry (66')

Iacovitti (32'), Mills (94')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Oldham
2-2
Swindon
Edmundson (7'), Branger (70')
Edmundson (45')
Doughty (45' pen.), Bennett (60')
Doughty (32')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Swindon
0-0
Oldham

Alzate (38'), Woolfenden (83'), Nelson (90')
Taylor (90')

Gardner (74'), Clarke (90')