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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 27.32% | 24.64% | 48.04% |
| Both teams to score 55.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% | 47.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% | 69.69% |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% | 67.74% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% | 19.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.04% |