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Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Crawley Town

Oldham
3 - 3
Crawley

Stobbs (26'), Keillor-Dunn (28'), Clarke (60')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Francomb (39'), Tilley (44'), Oteh (69')
Ferry (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawCrawley Town
32.14%24.98%42.89%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53%46.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25%68.75%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.01%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 32.14%
    Crawley Town 42.89%
    Draw 24.97%
Oldham AthleticDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 4.97%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 9.12%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 6.97%
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.89%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Crawley
2-2
Oldham
Nadesan (58', 61')
Nichols (76'), Davies (86')
Hope (56'), Missilou (70')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Oldham
Tilley (90')
Craig (64'), Tsaroulla (65')
McAleny (40', 47'), Borthwick-Jackson (41'), Bahamboula (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Oldham
2-3
Crawley
Rowe (30'), McAleny (80')
Nadesan (31'), Francomb (39'), Nichols (69')
Ferguson (55'), Nichols (72')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-0
Oldham
German (36'), Nadesan (70'), Lubala (76')
Ferguson (49'), Cogley (85')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm