Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.