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Walsall
Oldham Athletic
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Mansfield Town

Oldham
1 - 2
Mansfield

Keillor-Dunn (24')
Whelan (73'), Rogers (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (53'), Lapslie (90+5')
Perch (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oldham Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town

Mansfield's late winner in the week is likely to have re-energised their side following their back-to-back defeats prior to it. With the visitors on the up and the hosts in a desperate situation at the bottom following a dreadful run, Mansfield should be expected to edge out Oldham in this one, albeit likely by a narrow margin with both sides left with plenty to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
25.24%23.82%50.94%
Both teams to score 55.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49%45.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16%67.84%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58%68.42%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3%48.7%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 25.24%
    Mansfield Town 50.94%
    Draw 23.81%
Oldham AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.53%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.24%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.47%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 4.86%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.94%

How you voted: Oldham vs Mansfield

Oldham Athletic
29.6%
Draw
3.7%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
0-0
Oldham

Clarke (38'), Lapslie (76'), Burke (90+2')

Stobbs (37'), Clarke (86')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
4-1
Oldham
Sinclair (12'), Lapslie (38', 80'), Reid (88')
Dearnley (51')
Clarke (77')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Oldham
2-3
Mansfield
McCalmont (6'), McAleny (84')
McAleny (61'), Rowe (65')
Charsley (36'), Sweeney (38'), Reid (49')
Cook (34'), Lapslie (87')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Oldham
3-1
Mansfield
Smith (23'), Hamer (43'), Nepomuceno (58')
Khan (93')
Riley (16'), Pearce (70')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
6-1
Oldham
Maynard (31', 34', 45'), Wheater (56' og.), Afolayan (66'), Knowles (83' pen.)
Pearce (65'), Sweeney (92')
Haymer (43')
Morais (33')
Egert (37'), Morais (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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