Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.