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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 48.64% | 25.17% | 26.19% |
| Both teams to score 52.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% | 72.4% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% | 20.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% | 53.41% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.19% |