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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newport County |
| 19.06% | 24.99% | 55.95% |
| Both teams to score 44.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% | 56.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% | 44.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% | 80.29% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% | 20.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% | 52.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-1 @ 4.76% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 14.28% 0-2 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.95% |