Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
