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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 42.73% | 26.65% | 30.62% |
| Both teams to score 50.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.95% | 54.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% | 75.47% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% | 59.73% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% | 32.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% | 68.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.62% |