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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Sutton United

Newport
3 - 2
Sutton

Collins (53'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Dolan (90+3' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ajiboye (24', 42')
Barden (72')
Eastmond (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
45.32%26.36%28.31%
Both teams to score 50.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08%53.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63%75.37%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33%70.67%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.32%
    Sutton United 28.31%
    Draw 26.36%
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Newport vs Sutton

Newport County
23.1%
Draw
30.8%
Sutton United
46.2%
13
rhs 2.0


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