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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 36.1% | 27.89% | 36.01% |
| Both teams to score 48.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.18% | 57.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.45% | 78.55% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% | 66.82% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% | 30.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% | 66.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.01% |