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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 33.08% | 28.7% | 38.22% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.05% | 80.95% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% | 70.88% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% | 30.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% | 67.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.22% |