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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 35.97% | 29.77% | 34.25% |
| Both teams to score 42.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.6% | 64.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.54% | 83.46% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% | 70.73% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% | 35.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 11.98% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.76% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.25% |