Crawley

1 - 4

Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.