Port Vale

3 - 1

Barrow

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.