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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Barrow |
| 41.88% | 28.66% | 29.46% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.33% | 61.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.51% | 81.49% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% | 64.99% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% | 37.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% | 74.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.16% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.55% Total : 41.87% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.76% Total : 29.46% |