Port Vale
1 - 0
Rochdale

J (90+3' og.)
Taylor (2'), Walker (40'), Benning (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Keohane (29'), Taylor (55'), Kelly (57')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Port Vale and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Rochdale
38.9%	25.86%	35.24%

Both teams to score 54.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37%

49.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35%

71.65%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27%

59.73%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.88%

27.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.49%

62.51%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 38.9%

Rochdale 35.24%

Draw 25.85%

Port Vale	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.9%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.24%