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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
| 40.94% | 29.4% | 29.66% |
| Both teams to score 42.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.04% | 63.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% | 83.15% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% | 30.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% | 67% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% | 75.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.86% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 0.95% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.3% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.65% |