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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 40.01% | 28.37% | 31.62% |
| Both teams to score 46.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.92% | 60.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.7% | 80.29% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% | 34.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.62% |