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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 53.94% | 28.23% | 17.84% |
| Both teams to score 35.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.31% | 85.69% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% | 60.79% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.65% | 52.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.77% | 86.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 18.3% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.73% Total : 53.93% | 0-0 @ 13.51% 1-1 @ 11.84% 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.27% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 2.42% Total : 17.84% |