EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Bolton3 - 2Port Vale
Doyle (28'), Delfouneso (54'), Afolayan (77')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
Delfouneso (67'), Santos (75'), Baptiste (81'), Brockbank (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 40.62% | 26.07% | 33.3% |
| Both teams to score 53.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% | 50.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% | 72.75% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% | 64.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers 40.62%
Port Vale 33.3%
Draw 26.07%
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.3% |
How you voted: Bolton vs Port Vale
Bolton Wanderers
68.2%Draw
9.4%Port Vale
22.4%85


