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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 23.6% | 27.01% | 49.39% |
| Both teams to score 44.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% | 59.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% | 79.63% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.03% | 40.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.47% | 77.53% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% | 58.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.24% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-3 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.39% Total : 49.39% |