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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 47.89% | 26.78% | 25.32% |
| Both teams to score 46.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% | 57.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% | 78.08% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% | 23.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% | 58.17% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% | 38.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% | 75.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.32% |