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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 27.56% | 27.91% | 44.53% |
| Both teams to score 45.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.09% | 59.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.83% | 80.17% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% | 37.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% | 74.6% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% | 62.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 13.35% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-3 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.27% 1-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.53% |