/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
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Joe Riley
17'
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Omari Patrick
33'
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Callum Guy
77'
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Joe McNerney
66'
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Tony Craig
81'
Carlisle United vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result
Carlisle United
40.31%
Draw
27.29%
Crawley Town
32.4%
Both Teams to Score:
49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.03%
Under 2.5
55.97%
Over 3.5
22.93%
Under 3.5
77.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
72.78%
Under 0.5
27.22%
Over 1.5
37.36%
Under 1.5
62.63%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
67.92%
Under 0.5
32.08%
Over 1.5
31.45%
Under 1.5
68.55%
Score analysis
Carlisle United
40.31%
Draw
27.28%
Crawley Town
32.4%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
11.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
Crawley Town
0-1
@
9.93%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%
