Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
