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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 38.25% | 27.26% | 34.49% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% | 55.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% | 66.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.49% |