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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 39.84% | 27.01% | 33.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% | 54.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.2% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% | 30.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% | 67.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.15% |