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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 38.03% | 26.56% | 35.41% |
| Both teams to score 52.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% | 74.25% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% | 62.23% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% | 64.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.41% |