Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 43.11% | 27.3% | 29.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.13% | 56.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.21% | 77.79% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% | 26.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% | 61.21% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% | 34.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.7% | 71.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.59% |