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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 36.05% | 26.38% | 37.57% |
| Both teams to score 52.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.18% | 51.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.42% | 73.57% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% | 63.24% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% | 62.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.57% |