League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
4 - 0
Stevenage

Anderton (10'), Kayode (20'), Alessandra (34'), Riley (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Vincelot (43'), Prosser (44')
Prosser (74')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stevenage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
45.1%	26.79%	28.12%

Both teams to score 48.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37%

55.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21%

76.79%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93%

59.07%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.94%

35.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19%

71.81%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 45.09%

Stevenage 28.12%

Draw 26.78%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.48% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.12%