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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 36.35% | 26.63% | 37.02% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.45% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% | 63.63% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% | 27.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% | 63.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.35% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.02% |