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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 51.23% | 24.84% | 23.93% |
| Both teams to score 51.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% | 50.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% | 19.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% | 52% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% | 36.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% | 72.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.93% |