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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 43.89% | 27.19% | 28.93% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% | 56.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% | 77.69% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% | 60.59% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% | 35.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% | 71.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.93% |