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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 34.77% | 27.94% | 37.29% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.94% | 58.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.26% | 78.74% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% | 31.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% | 67.95% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% | 29.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% | 66.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.29% |