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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 40% | 27.78% | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% | 57.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.44% | 78.56% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.78% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.21% |