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Bolton logo
League Two | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2020 at 7pm UK
Macron Stadium
Mansfield Town

Bolton
1 - 1
Mansfield

Sarcevic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lapslie (57')
Lapslie (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
40%27.78%32.22%
Both teams to score 47.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16%57.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44%78.56%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23%69.77%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 40%
    Mansfield Town 32.21%
    Draw 27.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.84%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.38%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.21%