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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 31.99% | 27.72% | 40.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% | 57.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% | 78.44% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% | 33.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% | 69.86% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% | 28.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.31% | 63.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.29% |