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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 32.03% | 25.32% | 42.66% |
| Both teams to score 55.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% | 48.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% | 70.19% |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% | 22.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.03% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.66% |