Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 48.69% | 25.93% | 25.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.97% | 54.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% | 75.47% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% | 22.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% | 55.64% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% | 36.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% | 73.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.39% |