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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Salford City |
| 35.81% | 26.25% | 37.95% |
| Both teams to score 53.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% | 51.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% | 27.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% | 63.08% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% | 61.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.95% |