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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Morecambe

Carlisle
3 - 1
Morecambe

Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
44.7%26.87%28.43%
Both teams to score 48.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23%55.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09%76.9%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57%59.42%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.62%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 44.7%
    Morecambe 28.43%
    Draw 26.86%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.12%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 28.43%

rhs 2.0


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