League Two Gameweek 9
Carlisle
Oct 27, 2020 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
Morecambe
  • Yann Songo'o 1' goal
  • Jon Mellish 3' goal
  • Joe Riley 37' yellowcard
  • George Tanner 87' goal
  • Gavin Reilly 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John O'Sullivan 50'
  • goal Yann Songo'o 79'
  • yellowcard Yann Songo'o 81'

Carlisle United vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 2 Forest Green
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Carlos Mendes Gomes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 44.7%
Draw 26.87%
Morecambe 28.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.94%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.23%
Under 2.5 55.77%
Over 3.5 23.09%
Under 3.5 76.9%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.17%
Under 0.5 24.83%
Over 1.5 40.57%
Under 1.5 59.42%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 65.11%
Under 0.5 34.89%
Over 1.5 28.38%
Under 1.5 71.62%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 44.7%
Draw 26.86%
Morecambe 28.43%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.86%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 9.12%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 28.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 35
Carlisle
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
Morecambe
  • Omari Patrick 45' goal
  • Elliot Watt 51' yellowcard
  • Nick Anderton 59' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hayden 65' goal
  • Byron Webster 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cole Stockton 18'
  • goal Aaron Wildig 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cranston 85'
League Two Gameweek 20
Morecambe
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Lewis Alessandra 33' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 50' goal
  • Luke Conlan 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 29'
  • goal Hallam Hope 47'
  • yellowcard Jarrad Branthwaite 61'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 10
Morecambe
Nov 12, 2019 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
Carlisle
  • Andrew Tutte 61' goal
  • Aaron Wildig 67' goal
  • Luke Conlan 91' goal
  • goal Jarrad Branthwaite 26'
League Two Gameweek 26
Morecambe
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
Carlisle
  • Vadaine Oliver 89' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cranston 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Devitt 15'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 40'
  • goal Jack Sowerby 76'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 89'
League Two Gameweek 13
Carlisle
Oct 13, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
Morecambe
  • goal AJ Leitch-Smith 14'
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 26'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 1
Carlisle
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
Morecambe
  • George Glendon 13' goal
  • Macaulay Gillesphey 38' goal
  • Jerry Yates 76' goal
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 6'
  • goal Joe Piggott 24'
  • yellowcard Lamin Jagne 33'

Form Data

Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Carlisle
Oldham 1 - 1 Carlisle
Carlisle 3 - 2 Colchester
Port Vale 0 - 1 Carlisle
Sunderland 5 - 3 Carlisle
Carlisle 1 - 0 Barrow
Morecambe 1 - 2 Forest Green
Morecambe 1 - 1 Mansfield
Crawley 4 - 0 Morecambe
Oldham 2 - 3 Morecambe
Morecambe 1 - 0 Port Vale
Salford City 2 - 0 Morecambe