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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 24.88% | 26.74% | 48.38% |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% | 57.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% | 78.2% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% | 75.49% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% | 23.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% | 57.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.52% Total : 24.88% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 13.23% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.38% |