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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 33.57% | 26.88% | 39.55% |
| Both teams to score 50.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% | 54.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% | 75.55% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% | 66.55% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% | 62.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.13% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.55% |