Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 52.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.