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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 57.03% | 23.27% | 19.7% |
| Both teams to score 50.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% | 49.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% | 17.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% | 47.18% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% | 39.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% | 75.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 5.78% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.7% |