League Two

Jun 18, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
0 - 2
Cheltenham

Goode (20')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raglan (26'), Thomas (86')
Hussey (45+5')

Reaction

Northampton Town manager Keith Curle pictured in January 2020

Keith Curle optimistic about Northampton chances despite Cheltenham defeat

The Cobblers were beaten 2-0.

Jun 19, 08:06

The Match

Match Report

The Cobblers missed an early penalty and were punished.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two playoff semi-final first leg between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
41.19%	28.13%	30.68%

Both teams to score 46.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.51%

59.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.15%

79.85%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6%

28.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85%

64.15%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85%

35.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1%

71.9%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 41.18%

Cheltenham Town 30.67%

Draw 28.12%

Northampton Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.67%